Multiple sclerosis • diagnosis • monitoring

Biomarkers in Multiple Sclerosis: MRI, Blood, CSF and New Monitoring Tools

Modern monitoring of multiple sclerosis cannot rely on a single measurement. The clinician integrates the clinical picture, magnetic resonance imaging, cerebrospinal fluid findings, blood biomarkers and the patient’s functional course over time.

These tools answer different questions: how well the diagnosis is supported, whether inflammatory activity persists, whether nervous-system damage is accumulating, whether treatment is effective, and whether signs of gradual progression are emerging.

There is no single universal biomarker for multiple sclerosis. New MRI lesions, neurofilament light chain, glial fibrillary acidic protein, oligoclonal bands, kappa free light chains and the MSDA test reflect different aspects of the disease.
Core principle

What is a biomarker in multiple sclerosis?

A biomarker is an objectively measurable indicator of a biological process that helps answer a specific clinical question.

1

Diagnosis

Helps confirm that central nervous system involvement is consistent with multiple sclerosis and distinguish it from disorders with a similar clinical or MRI appearance.

2

Disease activity

Helps detect new inflammatory injury, including disease activity that is not accompanied by new symptoms.

3

Prognosis

Some biomarkers are associated with a later risk of accumulating neurological disability or disease progression.

4

Treatment response

Changes in biomarkers may complement clinical assessment and MRI when monitoring treatment effectiveness.

The same biomarker may be very useful for one purpose and of little value for another. Oligoclonal bands, for example, are important diagnostically but are not useful for routine monitoring of current MS activity. Neurofilament light chain may be useful for monitoring, but it is not a diagnostic test for MS.
Biomarker map

Which biomarkers are most important today?

BiomarkerWhat it reflectsDiagnosisActivityProgressionUse
New or enlarging T2/FLAIR lesionsNew focal inflammatory activityYesYesLimitedRoutine
Gadolinium-enhancing lesionsRecent blood–brain barrier disruptionYesYesNot directlyWhen clinically indicated
Central vein sign (CVS)Characteristic perivenular lesion architectureYesNoNot establishedSpecialized MRI
Paramagnetic rim lesions (PRL)Chronic inflammation at the lesion edgeYes, in selected situationsChronic activityPromisingSpecialized MRI
Oligoclonal bands (OCB)Intrathecal immunoglobulin synthesisYesNoLimitedRoutine
Kappa free light chains (κ-FLC)Intrathecal immunoglobulin responseYesNot a primary activity markerUnder studyIncluded in the 2024 McDonald criteria
Neurofilament light chain (NfL)Neuroaxonal injuryNoAdditional markerHas prognostic valueGradually entering clinical practice
Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP)Astroglial activationNoLimitedPromising markerNot yet routine
MSDA testMulti-protein disease activity profileNoAdditional assessmentNot validated as a stand-alone progression testSpecialized commercial test
Slowly expanding lesions (SEL)Gradual enlargement of some chronic lesionsNoChronic activityPromising markerMainly research
Brain and spinal cord atrophyAccumulated structural tissue lossNoNot directlyYes, at group levelIndividual interpretation is limited
Optical coherence tomography (OCT)Retinal and visual pathway injuryUsed to document optic nerve involvementLimitedHas prognostic valueClinically available
“Routine use” here refers not to the scientific importance of a biomarker, but to the degree of standardization and readiness for individual clinical decision-making.
Diagnostic biomarkers

Which biomarkers help support the diagnosis of MS?

The 2024 revision of the McDonald criteria expanded the options for objective confirmation of multiple sclerosis. Alongside conventional MRI findings, specific imaging and CSF biomarkers now have a more prominent role.

MRI

Typical lesion location and morphology remain central. In selected clinical situations, the central vein sign (CVS) and paramagnetic rim lesions (PRL) may provide additional diagnostic specificity.

Cerebrospinal fluid

Oligoclonal bands (OCB) and kappa free light chains (κ-FLC) help document intrathecal immunoglobulin synthesis.

Important: new biomarkers do not turn MS diagnosis into a collection of isolated laboratory tests. Diagnostic criteria are applied only in an appropriate clinical context and after more likely alternative diagnoses have been excluded.
Imaging biomarkers

Modern MRI shows more than just lesion count

MRI remains the main objective imaging method in MS. Interpretation now includes not only the number of lesions, but also their location, structure, evolution and signs of chronic activity.

Routine

New T2/FLAIR lesions

New lesions or enlargement of existing lesions remain among the main indicators of ongoing focal inflammatory activity.

Specialized MRI

Central vein sign (CVS)

Reflects the characteristic location of an MS lesion around a small vein and may help distinguish demyelinating lesions from some nonspecific white-matter abnormalities.

Specialized MRI

Paramagnetic rim lesions (PRL)

May reflect persistent chronic inflammation at the edge of an older lesion. They have diagnostic value and are actively studied as a possible marker of less favorable disease biology.

Mainly research

Slowly expanding lesions (SEL)

Detected through quantitative analysis of serial MRI and reflect gradual enlargement of a subset of chronic lesions.

Quantitative analysis

Atrophy

Loss of brain or spinal cord volume is associated with accumulated tissue damage, but individual assessment requires standardized acquisition and specialized image processing.

Protocol-dependent

Cortical lesions

Cortical involvement is an important part of MS pathology, but small cortical lesions are less visible on standard MRI protocols.

Cerebrospinal fluid

Oligoclonal bands and kappa free light chains

Oligoclonal bands (OCB)

CSF-restricted IgG oligoclonal bands reflect local immunoglobulin production within the central nervous system and remain highly important for MS diagnosis.

Once the diagnosis is established, repeating OCB testing to monitor disease activity is usually unnecessary.

Kappa free light chains (κ-FLC)

Kappa free light chains also reflect an intrathecal immunoglobulin response. Their advantage is that they can be measured quantitatively and with automated laboratory methods.

In the 2024 McDonald criteria, κ-FLC acquired a diagnostic role alongside oligoclonal bands.

OCB and κ-FLC are primarily diagnostic, not longitudinal activity biomarkers. Their presence does not tell us how active MS is today or how effectively a treatment is working.
Blood biomarkers

NfL, GFAP and multi-protein panels

The major advantage of blood biomarkers is the possibility of repeated measurement without an invasive procedure. This makes them particularly attractive for longitudinal monitoring in MS.

Neurofilament light chain (NfL)

NfL reflects neuroaxonal injury. Increased levels may accompany relapses, new MRI activity and other forms of nervous-system damage.

NfL is not specific to MS, so every result requires clinical interpretation.

Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP)

GFAP is a structural protein of astrocytes and is being studied particularly in relation to gradual progression, PIRA and progressive forms of MS.

It is not yet a stand-alone clinical test for diagnosing progression.

MSDA test

This multi-protein serum assay measures 18 protein biomarkers and uses an algorithm to calculate an integrated disease activity score.

MSDA may complement MRI and clinical assessment, but it does not replace them.

Disease activity

How can we detect MS activity that the patient may not feel?

The absence of relapses does not always mean that the disease is completely inactive. New inflammatory injury may remain clinically silent.

New MRI lesions

New or enlarging T2/FLAIR lesions remain the best-established imaging sign of new focal disease activity.

Gadolinium-enhancing lesions

These indicate recent blood–brain barrier disruption and identify active inflammation during a limited time window.

Neurofilament light chain

Increased NfL may accompany new neuroaxonal injury and can add information to clinical assessment and MRI.

Clinical stability and absence of inflammatory activity are not always the same thing. Modern MS monitoring should therefore not be limited to asking whether a patient has had a new relapse.
Gradual progression

Why biomarkers of progression are more difficult than biomarkers of inflammatory activity

A new relapse or a new gadolinium-enhancing lesion is relatively easy to link to an acute inflammatory event. It is much harder to measure slow accumulation of damage that may occur without relapses and without new conventional T2 lesions.

This is why biomarkers of progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and chronic active tissue injury are being studied so intensively.

GFAP

May reflect astroglial activation and, in several studies, is associated with subsequent disability accumulation.

Paramagnetic rim lesions

May serve as an imaging sign of persistent chronic activity within previously formed lesions.

Slowly expanding lesions

Reflect gradual long-term evolution of some chronic lesions, but currently require specialized quantitative MRI processing.

Brain atrophy

Associated with accumulated structural damage, but small changes are difficult to interpret reliably in an individual patient.

Spinal cord atrophy

Closely associated with motor disability and progression, but quantitative assessment is not yet a standard component of routine monitoring.

Optical coherence tomography

Retinal layer thinning may reflect neuroaxonal injury and has prognostic value, but OCT is not used as a stand-alone criterion for changing therapy.

There is currently no single blood test or MRI measure that can reliably say, “PIRA has started” or “MS has transitioned to SPMS.” Progression is still defined primarily by the clinical course, with biomarkers providing additional context.
Treatment monitoring

How biomarkers help assess the effectiveness of disease-modifying therapy

When monitoring treatment, the key is not one isolated test result but concordance across several sources of information.

Clinical course

Relapses, new symptoms, neurological examination and functional changes are assessed over time.

MRI

New or enlarging lesions remain one of the most important objective signs of persistent focal inflammatory activity.

Blood biomarkers

Serial NfL and, in selected situations, MSDA or other markers may complement clinical and imaging assessment.

The modern approach is not to look for a laboratory result that independently decides whether treatment should be changed, but to interpret the entire data set. An isolated increase in NfL, GFAP or MSDA is not a universal indication to switch DMT.
An important distinction

MS biomarkers and treatment-safety markers are not the same thing

People with MS often undergo regular laboratory monitoring, but many of these tests do not measure MS activity itself. Their main role is to make treatment safer.

JC virus antibodies and JCV index

Used to assess risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy during natalizumab treatment, not to assess MS activity.

Lymphocyte count

Important for safety monitoring with several DMTs, including fumarates, S1P modulators and cladribine.

Immunoglobulin G

Particularly relevant during long-term B-cell-depleting therapy and in patients with recurrent infections.

CD19-positive B cells

May reflect the biological effect of anti-CD20 therapy, but are not a direct marker of MS activity.

Liver-function tests

Used for treatment safety with selected therapies rather than for assessing MS progression.

Infection screening

Hepatitis B, tuberculosis, varicella-zoster immunity and other infection-related tests may be required for safe treatment selection.

Emerging directions

Which biomarkers are still mainly research tools?

Beyond NfL and GFAP, many proteins, chemokines, cytokines and molecular profiles are being studied. For most, it is not yet clear how a result should change the treatment of an individual patient.

CXCL13

C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 13 is involved in B-cell trafficking and intrathecal immune activity and is studied particularly in CSF.

CHI3L1 / YKL-40

Chitinase-3-like protein 1 is associated with glial and innate immune activation and is being studied as a possible marker of chronic tissue injury and progression.

Multi-protein panels

Proteomic approaches can measure many proteins simultaneously and generate integrated profiles of disease activity. MSDA is one of the first commercial examples of this strategy.

Transcriptomics

Studies gene activity and RNA profiles associated with immune activation and MS course.

Metabolomics

Examines small molecules and metabolic pathways that may accompany inflammation, tissue injury and repair.

Integrated models

A particularly promising approach is to combine clinical data, MRI, blood biomarkers, CSF and digital measures into a single individualized risk model.

A promising biomarker is not automatically a test that should be ordered in routine practice. Clinical use requires standardized methods, appropriate reference values and evidence that the result genuinely improves decision-making.
Personalized monitoring

The future is likely to combine different biomarkers

Multiple sclerosis includes several parallel biological processes: acute inflammation, axonal injury, chronic activity within older lesions, glial responses and gradual loss of nervous tissue. No single measurement can fully describe all of these processes.

Inflammatory activity

New T2/FLAIR lesions, gadolinium-enhancing lesions, clinical relapses and neurofilament light chain.

Chronic activity

Paramagnetic rim lesions, slowly expanding lesions, GFAP and other emerging markers.

Accumulated damage

Atrophy, optical coherence tomography, neurological examination and longitudinal functional change.

The goal of personalized medicine is not to order as many tests as possible, but to select the tests that answer the clinical question that actually matters.
Clinical interpretation

When is it especially important to interpret biomarkers together?

The diagnosis is uncertain

The clinical presentation, typical and atypical MRI findings, CSF results and alternative diagnoses need to be assessed together.

New lesions appear despite treatment

The key questions are whether this is true breakthrough activity, whether MRI studies were compared appropriately and whether there is enough evidence to change treatment.

MRI is stable, but function is worsening

PIRA, spinal cord involvement, functional change, symptomatic causes of deterioration and possible progressive disease all need to be considered.

An unusual NfL, GFAP or MSDA result is reported

The important question is not only whether the value is outside a reference range, but what it means in the context of age, MRI findings, clinical course and current treatment.

Frequently asked questions

Biomarkers in multiple sclerosis

Which biomarker is the most important in MS?
It depends on the clinical question. For diagnosis, characteristic MRI findings, oligoclonal bands or kappa free light chains are important; in selected situations the central vein sign, paramagnetic rim lesions and evidence of optic nerve involvement may add specificity. For monitoring activity, the clinical course, MRI and increasingly NfL are most useful. GFAP, PRL, SEL, atrophy and other measures are being studied in relation to progression.
Can MS be diagnosed from NfL?
No. Neurofilament light chain is a sensitive marker of neuroaxonal injury but is not specific to multiple sclerosis. NfL may increase in other neurological diseases and after other forms of nervous-system injury.
Which is better for diagnosis: oligoclonal bands or κ-FLC?
Both reflect an intrathecal immunoglobulin response. Oligoclonal bands have decades of clinical experience, while kappa free light chains provide a quantitative, automated result. In the 2024 McDonald criteria, both approaches may be used to document intrathecal immunoglobulin synthesis.
Should the central vein sign and paramagnetic rim lesions be assessed in every patient?
No. These features are particularly useful in diagnostically difficult cases where greater MRI specificity is needed. Appropriate MRI sequences and experienced interpretation are required.
Should treatment be changed because of a high NfL result alone?
Usually not. NfL should be interpreted together with MRI, relapses, neurological examination, longitudinal NfL change, age and other possible causes of neuroaxonal injury.
Is GFAP better than NfL for progressive MS?
They reflect different biological processes. NfL primarily reflects neuroaxonal injury, whereas GFAP reflects astroglial activation. GFAP is especially interesting in research on PIRA and progression, but it is not yet a stand-alone clinical test for diagnosing progressive MS.
Can MSDA replace MRI?
No. MSDA is a multi-protein serum test that may add quantitative information about disease activity. It does not show lesion location or morphology and does not replace MRI or neurological examination.
Can progression be determined from brain atrophy alone?
Brain and spinal cord atrophy are associated with accumulated tissue injury, but individual measurements depend on scanner, acquisition protocol, software and other factors. A small change in volume should therefore not be used as the sole reason to change treatment.
If MRI shows no new lesions, does that mean MS is not progressing?
No. Disability may gradually accumulate without new relapses and without new conventional T2 lesions. This is one reason why PIRA, GFAP, paramagnetic rim lesions, slowly expanding lesions, atrophy and other markers of chronic injury are being studied.
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Author

Dr. Lidiia Prakhova

Neurologist, Doctor of Medical Sciences. Main clinical interests include multiple sclerosis and other neuroimmunological disorders, modern diagnostics, neuroimaging, biomarkers, and treatment selection and switching.

This page is intended for educational purposes and does not replace an individual medical consultation. Biomarker results should be interpreted together with the clinical picture, neurological examination and MRI findings.

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Key references

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