Multiple Sclerosis • Disease Progression

Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (SPMS) in Israel

Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis is a phase of MS in which, after a period of relapsing disease, gradual and persistent worsening of neurological function becomes increasingly prominent. This progression may occur even without new relapses and without new gadolinium-enhancing MRI lesions.

Today, transition to SPMS is viewed not as a sudden switch from one disease to another, but as a gradual change in the balance between inflammation, neuroaxonal injury and the nervous system’s capacity to compensate. Recognizing progression early is important because treatment strategies differ between active SPMS and progression without recent relapses.

The key feature of SPMS is not a new MRI lesion, but confirmed functional worsening over time. Walking distance may gradually decrease, weakness or spasticity may increase, or balance and hand function may worsen even in the absence of clear relapses.
Early Recognition

When should transition to secondary progressive MS be suspected?

The transition to SPMS is usually gradual. There is often no single date when one can say: “SPMS started on this day.”

The distance a person can walk without stopping gradually decreases over several months.
Climbing stairs, getting up from a chair or standing for longer periods becomes increasingly difficult.
Weakness in one or both legs gradually increases despite the absence of a clear new relapse.
Balance and coordination progressively worsen, or falls become more frequent.
Fine hand movements become more difficult: writing, buttoning clothes or using utensils.
Spasticity increases and begins to interfere more with mobility.
MRI appears “stable,” but objective neurological function continues to decline.
There is uncertainty about whether the current treatment still matches the biology of the disease.
Modern Concept

PIRA: why can MS worsen without relapses?

PIRA — progression independent of relapse activity — describes disability accumulation that is not directly associated with a clinical relapse.

PIRA does not begin only after a formal diagnosis of SPMS. It may occur during relapsing MS and gradually become an increasingly important source of long-term disability accumulation.

No new relapses

There are no clear new inflammatory attacks, but neurological function gradually declines.

MRI may appear stable

Conventional MRI is very useful for detecting new focal inflammatory activity, but it does not capture the full extent of chronic diffuse injury.

Function changes

Walking, hand function, balance and daily activities become particularly important to follow over time.

PIRA is not the same as SPMS. It can occur earlier. SPMS is a clinically recognizable phase in which persistent progression becomes an important feature of the disease course.
Diagnosis

How is secondary progressive MS diagnosed?

There is no single blood test, MRI marker or other investigation that confirms SPMS. Diagnosis is primarily clinical and depends on objective change over time.

Compare function over time The key question is what has objectively changed over the previous 6–12 months: walking, hand function, balance, endurance and everyday activities.
Confirm neurological change Repeated neurological examination, EDSS and more sensitive functional measures can help document progression.
Measure walking and hand function Depending on the situation, tests such as the Timed 25-Foot Walk and 9-Hole Peg Test may provide useful objective data.
Assess MRI activity MRI helps determine whether new focal inflammatory disease activity is still present in addition to progression.
Exclude reversible causes of worsening Infection, heat, anemia, poor sleep, depression, medication adverse effects, deconditioning and orthopedic or spinal disorders may mimic progression.
Determine whether worsening is relapse-related This helps distinguish relapse-associated worsening from disability progression occurring independently of relapses.
Why SPMS is often recognized late: subtle changes may initially be attributed to age, fatigue, previous relapses or reduced physical activity.
Disease Phenotype

Active and non-relapsing SPMS are not the same

Two processes need to be assessed separately: inflammatory activity and disability progression.

Active SPMS

There is evidence of ongoing inflammation: clinical relapses and/or new MRI activity.

In this situation, anti-inflammatory disease-modifying therapy remains particularly important.

SPMS without recent relapses

New relapses may be absent, while disability continues to accumulate gradually.

This is the population studied in the HERCULES trial of tolebrutinib, which changed the therapeutic landscape in 2026.

“Non-active” does not mean that the disease has stopped. It may mean that traditional signs of focal inflammation are absent while progression continues.
Biology of Progression

Why does progression occur in SPMS?

Progressive MS cannot be reduced simply to “inflammation disappears and neurodegeneration begins.” Both processes may coexist, but the nature of inflammation changes over time.

Chronic CNS inflammation

Part of the inflammatory process becomes compartmentalized within the central nervous system and may be less visible through conventional relapse activity.

Microglial activation

Microglia and other cells of innate immunity contribute to chronic neuroinflammation.

Neuroaxonal loss

Damage to axons and neuronal networks gradually reduces the functional reserve of the nervous system.

Chronic active lesions

Some lesions expand slowly over time and may show a paramagnetic rim, reflecting a chronically active lesion edge.

Reduced remyelination

The ability to restore damaged myelin and compensate for previous injury becomes less effective over time.

Age and neurological reserve

With aging, the brain becomes less able to compensate for accumulated structural injury, making previously hidden damage clinically apparent.

SPMS Treatment

Treatment depends on what is driving the disease now

In SPMS, it is not enough simply to continue the treatment used during relapsing disease. The neurologist needs to reassess whether inflammatory activity persists, how quickly function is worsening and whether the current treatment still matches the disease phenotype.

Clinical situation Main treatment goal What may be considered
SPMS with relapses and/or MRI activity Control ongoing inflammatory activity as effectively as possible. Disease-modifying therapy selected according to previous treatment, disease activity, age and individual safety profile.
Active SPMS Reduce inflammatory activity and the risk of further disability accumulation. Depending on local indications, siponimod and other therapies approved for active or relapsing forms of MS may be considered.
SPMS without recent relapses Target progression occurring outside clinical relapses. In the European Union, tolebrutinib became an approved option for a defined group of patients in 2026.
Advanced disability Preserve function, safety and independence as much as possible. Disease-modifying strategy, rehabilitation, treatment of spasticity, pain, gait impairment, bladder symptoms and other functional problems.

Siponimod

Siponimod was specifically studied in the large Phase III EXPAND trial in patients with SPMS. It reduced the risk of confirmed disability progression, and long-term follow-up supported sustained treatment benefit.

In many current regulatory systems, its use is primarily associated with active SPMS. Before treatment, individual contraindications and risk factors need to be assessed, including CYP2C9 genotype.

Dr. Lidiia Prakhova was a co-author of a 2022 publication describing the first Russian real-world experience with siponimod.

Other disease-modifying therapies

When relapses or new MRI activity persist, modern therapies approved for active or relapsing forms of MS may remain appropriate.

The most useful question is therefore usually not “Which drug is for SPMS?” but which disease mechanism is dominant in this individual patient now?

High-intensity treatment is not automatically the answer to progression. For example, AHSCT has its strongest evidence in highly inflammatory MS. If disability is progressing mainly without relapses and without new MRI activity, the expected benefit of transplantation is lower.
Major 2026 Update

Tolebrutinib: a new treatment option for SPMS without recent relapses

HERCULES changed the treatment landscape of non-relapsing SPMS

Tolebrutinib is an oral Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor that penetrates the central nervous system. It affects both B cells and myeloid-lineage cells, including microglia, making it particularly relevant to chronic compartmentalized inflammation.

The HERCULES trial included 1,131 patients with non-relapsing SPMS. Tolebrutinib reduced the risk of 6-month confirmed disability progression compared with placebo.

22.6% with confirmed disability progression on tolebrutinib
30.7% with confirmed disability progression on placebo
HR 0.69 corresponding to an approximately 31% relative risk reduction

What changed in June 2026?

On June 19, 2026, the European Commission granted marketing authorization for Cenrifki (tolebrutinib).

The European indication is for adults with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis who have not experienced relapses during the previous two years.

This is an important change, because historically most disease-modifying therapies were considerably more effective against focal inflammatory activity than against progression without relapses.

Safety remains important. Liver function monitoring is required during treatment. In HERCULES, ALT elevations greater than three times the upper limit of normal occurred more often with tolebrutinib than with placebo. Cenrifki is subject to additional monitoring in Europe.

European authorization does not automatically mean that the treatment is available in Israel. Regulatory status, health-fund coverage and actual availability should be checked separately.

Function and Quality of Life

Rehabilitation is a core part of SPMS treatment

In progressive MS, treatment success is not defined only by MRI or disease-modifying therapy. Preserving walking, hand function, safety and independence is equally important.

Walking

Weakness, spasticity, foot drop, sensory impairment, poor balance and fatigue often contribute together.

Gait impairment and foot drop →

Spasticity

Treatment may combine exercise, oral medication and focal botulinum toxin therapy depending on the pattern of spasticity.

Spasticity in MS →

Fatigue

Sleep problems, depression, infection, anemia, medication adverse effects and heat sensitivity should be considered.

Foot drop

Depending on the pattern of weakness, AFOs, dynamic orthoses or functional electrical stimulation may be considered.

Pain

Pain may be neuropathic, related to spasticity or altered gait, or caused by specific syndromes such as trigeminal neuralgia.

Sexual and bladder function

Bladder, bowel and sexual dysfunction may have a major effect on quality of life and deserve active assessment and treatment.

In more advanced disability, robotic gait training, exoskeletons and other assistive technologies may be considered. Spinal neuromodulation in progressive MS remains investigational.
Monitoring

How should progression be monitored?

Monitoring SPMS needs to go beyond the question: “Are there new MRI lesions?”

Objective function

Repeated assessment of EDSS, walking speed, hand function and other measures can reveal gradual change earlier.

MRI

MRI remains important for detecting new focal inflammatory activity, but stable conventional MRI does not exclude progression.

Biomarkers

NfL may provide information about neuroaxonal injury, while GFAP is increasingly studied as a marker related to progressive disease biology.

NfL and GFAP do not replace clinical assessment. No blood biomarker currently diagnoses SPMS or independently determines whether treatment should be changed.
Long-Term Strategy

Can the risk of developing SPMS be reduced?

Progression cannot be completely prevented, but modern evidence suggests that effective early control of inflammatory activity is important for long-term outcome.

Observational studies have shown that patients treated earlier with more effective therapies were, on average, less likely or took longer to transition to SPMS than patients with prolonged insufficient disease control.

This does not mean that every patient should receive the most intensive treatment available. Treatment intensity should be individualized according to disease risk, age, comorbidities and safety.

Features that deserve particular attention early in MS

  • frequent or severe relapses;
  • incomplete recovery from attacks;
  • new MRI lesions despite treatment;
  • high lesion burden or unfavorable lesion location;
  • early objective disability accumulation;
  • evidence of PIRA.
Specialist Consultation in Israel

What can be addressed during an SPMS consultation?

Determine whether true progression has begun

Compare functional changes, neurological findings, previous relapses and MRI over time.

Distinguish SPMS from temporary worsening

Exclude infection, deconditioning, heat sensitivity, poor sleep, anemia and other reversible causes.

Assess current disease activity

Determine whether relapses or new MRI lesions continue, or whether progression now dominates.

Review disease-modifying treatment

Assess whether the current therapy still matches the present disease phenotype and individual risk profile.

Discuss newer treatment options

Review siponimod, therapies for active SPMS and new approaches to progression without recent relapses.

Create a functional treatment plan

Prioritize treatment of walking, spasticity, fatigue, pain, bladder dysfunction and other symptoms affecting independence.

SPMS Consultation with Dr. Lidiia Prakhova in Israel

A consultation may be particularly useful when walking or another neurological function is gradually worsening despite the absence of relapses, when transition to SPMS is suspected, or when treatment needs to be reassessed in light of newer therapeutic options.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about secondary progressive MS

What is secondary progressive multiple sclerosis?
Secondary progressive MS is a phase of multiple sclerosis that follows relapsing disease and is characterized by gradually increasing, persistent neurological disability.
How can I tell if my MS has become secondary progressive?
The main clue is confirmed functional worsening over months that cannot be explained only by relapses or temporary factors. Walking, balance, hand function or endurance often deteriorate gradually.
Does SPMS always cause new MRI lesions?
No. Disability progression may continue even when conventional MRI shows no new enhancing or T2 lesions.
What is PIRA?
PIRA means progression independent of relapse activity. It describes disability accumulation that occurs outside clinical relapses and may begin before SPMS is formally recognized.
Can secondary progressive MS be treated?
Yes. Treatment depends on whether inflammatory activity persists, whether relapses or new MRI lesions are present, how rapidly disability is progressing and which therapies are available for that disease phenotype. Rehabilitation and symptom management remain essential.
What is the difference between active and non-active SPMS?
Active SPMS includes relapses and/or new inflammatory MRI activity. In SPMS without such activity, disability progression may still continue.
What is tolebrutinib and can it be used for SPMS?
Tolebrutinib is a BTK inhibitor studied in non-relapsing SPMS. In June 2026 it was authorized in the European Union as Cenrifki for adults with SPMS who had experienced no relapses during the previous two years. Treatment decisions are individualized and availability varies by country.
Is siponimod used in secondary progressive MS?
Yes. Siponimod was specifically studied in the large EXPAND trial in SPMS and remains an important option, particularly for active SPMS, depending on local regulatory indications.
Does AHSCT help secondary progressive MS?
AHSCT has its strongest evidence in highly inflammatory MS. If disability is progressing mainly without relapses and without new MRI activity, the expected benefit is substantially lower.
Can rehabilitation slow functional decline?
Rehabilitation does not replace disease-modifying therapy, but it can help preserve strength, mobility, balance, safety and functional independence and is a central part of SPMS care.
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Author

Dr. Lidiia Prakhova

Neurologist, Doctor of Medical Sciences. Main clinical areas of expertise include neuroimmunology, multiple sclerosis, NMOSD and MOGAD.

Dr. Lidiia Prakhova is a co-author of a publication describing the first Russian real-world experience with siponimod in secondary progressive MS.

The information on this page is intended for educational purposes and does not replace an individual medical consultation.

Key Scientific References

  1. Fox RJ, Bar-Or A, Traboulsee A, et al. Tolebrutinib in Nonrelapsing Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis. N Engl J Med. 2025;392:1883–1892. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2415988.
  2. Kappos L, Bar-Or A, Cree BAC, et al. Siponimod versus placebo in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (EXPAND): a double-blind, randomised, phase 3 study. Lancet. 2018;391:1263–1273. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30475-6.
  3. Cree BAC, Arnold DL, Fox RJ, et al. Long-term efficacy and safety of siponimod in patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: analysis of EXPAND core and extension data up to more than 5 years. Mult Scler. 2022;28(10):1591–1605. doi:10.1177/13524585221083194.
  4. Portaccio E, Betti M, De Meo E, et al. Toward a Unified Definition of Progression Independent of Relapse Activity in Multiple Sclerosis. Neurology. 2025;105(8):e213977. doi:10.1212/WNL.0000000000213977.
  5. Inojosa H, Proschmann U, Akgün K, Ziemssen T. A focus on secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: challenges in diagnosis and definition. J Neurol. 2021;268:1210–1221.
  6. Brown JWL, Coles A, Horakova D, et al. Association of Initial Disease-Modifying Therapy With Later Conversion to Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis. JAMA. 2019;321(2):175–187. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.20588.
  7. Ilves AG, Prakhova LN. First Russian real-world experience with siponimod. Zh Nevrol Psikhiatr Im S S Korsakova. 2022.

Regulatory information: European Medicines Agency. Cenrifki (tolebrutinib). Marketing authorization issued 19 June 2026. Indication: adults with SPMS without relapses during the previous two years.

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